WE ARE BACK.

It's another Prop Drop. Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NFL in fun ways.

We've gone 12-3 on our any-time touchdown videos so far over 3 weeks, which is completely insane, but FULL TRANSPARENCY we did have a rough 1-3 performance on our way-too-early picks last week so lets BOUNCE BACK!

Thank me by following on Instagram where I’m spending a ton of time making videos like this the past few weeks.

I don’t expect these numbers to last long, so this is a great time to remind you that you should turn on Twitter (X) notifications so you don’t miss any “drops” or giveaways along the way.

Also: we started “$50 FLASH giveaways”… where you have to enter within the first 30 minutes of posting. There will be many more of these

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Alright enough is enough already… let’s get into Week 16!

NFL betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so it’s important to get some action down early in the week. I can help with that!

Today’s Prop Drop:

Note: Full analysis on picks later this week and on Twitter shortly, but today is about getting the best early action down… quickly.

• Tap the bet to tail on PrizePicks before the line moves

Way-too-early:

4. 🎲 C.J. Stroud: O 257.5 pass yards

3. 🍀 N. Collins: O 72.5 rec yards

The Titans failed to push them last week or they would have gone NUTS, but the setup is even better against the Colts.

Stroud has the 2nd-highest yards per attempt in the NFL when he has time, and Indy doesn’t generate a ton of PRESSURE.

Not to mention they play Cover-3 defense 2nd-most in the NFL

You know who leads the league in efficiency against this exact type of coverage?

Stroud…

And Nico is 8th in the NFL with 3.12 yards per route run against Cover-3

2. 🎈 M. Evans: O 67.5 rec yards

Only Carolina plays more Cover-3 than the Colts and Evans is 5th in the NFL with 528 receiving yards against this type of defense.

🤫 Tap here for my #1 Early-Week Prop Bet

Run good this week!

There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

Thank you for joining us on this exciting sports betting journey. Feel free to join our community sweats on Twitter (X) — That’s where I drop exclusive giveaways for people who like posts and reply in the comments.