WE ARE BACK.

It's another Prop Drop. Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NFL in fun ways.

If you have failed to turn on Twitter notifications… you missed out on more giveaways this week (and some absolute LOCKS btw):

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Also shout-out to our first Any-Time-TD drop last week… SWEEP CITY turning $100 into $1,200.

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I don’t expect these numbers to last long, so this is a great time to remind you that you should turn on Twitter (X) notifications so you don’t miss any “drops” or giveaways along the way.

Also: we started “$50 FLASH giveaways”… where you have to enter within the first 30 minutes of posting. There will be many more of these

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Alright enough is enough already… let’s get into Week 16!

NFL betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so it’s important to get some action down early in the week. I can help with that!

This Way-too-early send went 3-for-4 with a 75% hit rate last week, and we still have over a 72% win rate on the season for this Wednesday send 👀

Today’s Prop Drop:

Note: Full analysis on picks later this week and on Twitter shortly, but today is about getting the best early action down… quickly.

I’ve started adding Thursday Night Football to this send, let’s attack the biggest edges earlier whenever possible!

• Tap the bet to tail on PrizePicks before the line moves

Way-too-early:

5. 🏆 D. Njoku: O 49.5 rec yards

He's 3rd at the position in target rate per route run and Joe Flacco has given him a 29% target share. No team has allowed more tight end targets than the Texans. It's a volume play.

4. 🎲 T. Mclaurin: U 57.5 rec yards

He just went nuts for 141 receiving yards, but hear me out… The Jets dominate WR1s, 5th-best in points allowed to top targets, and have allowed just 1 touchdown to an outside WR all season where Terry runs 87% of his routes.

3. 🍀 J. Love: U 236.5 pass yards

Panthers defense is 4th best against QBs and 6th best in yards allowed per pass attempt.

2. 🎈 S. Diggs: O 70.5 rec yards

The Chargers have been bottom-3 in the NFL at defending opposing WR1s who allow on average 6 catches for 87 yards. Look no further than Davante Adams last week.

🤫 Tap here for my #1 Early-Week Prop Bet

Thursday Night Football (LAC @ LV):

3. 🤝 A. Kamara: O 31.5 rec yards

Statistically road underdog RBs see more targets and per Rich Hirbar - Kamara is averaging 8.2 receptions for 50.2 receiving yards in games the saints have lost since his return. When it comes to linebackers in defending running backs, LA has been awful this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.

2. 💡 R. Shaheed: O 30.5 rec yards

Opposing teams have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 7th-most in football, so I like this one regardless if Olave suits up or not because the rams have been susceptible to allowing big plays this year, he could hit this over on 1 catch and I wouldn’t be surprised.

🤫 Tap here for my #1 TNF prop bet

Run good this week!

There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

Thank you for joining us on this exciting sports betting journey. Feel free to join our community sweats on Twitter (X) — That’s where I drop exclusive giveaways for people who like posts and reply in the comments.