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It's another Prop Drop. Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NFL in fun ways.

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We will start rolling out picks over the coming weeks, stay tuned!

Alright enough is enough already… let’s get into Week 15!

NFL betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so it’s important to get some action down early in the week. I can help with that!

This Wednesday send is hitting at an 72% clip so far this season 👀

Today’s Prop Drop:

Note: Full analysis on picks later this week and on Twitter shortly, but today is about getting the best early action down… quickly.

I’m going to start adding Thursday Night Football to this send, let’s attack the biggest edges earlier whenever possible!

• Tap the bet to tail on PrizePicks before the line moves

Way-too-early:

4. 🎲 D. Prescott: U 295.5 pass yards

Dak Prescott is facing a tough Buffalo Bills defense that's been shutting down quarterbacks left and right. In his recent performances, Dak has struggled to hit high passing yards, falling short of this mark in three of his last four games. The Bills have shown their strength by allowing only one quarterback to exceed 300 yards in their last five matchups. These numbers suggest that betting on Dak to stay under 295.5 passing yards is a wise choice.

3. 🍀 L. Jackson: O 47.5 rush yards

Lamar Jackson is on a roll, surpassing this rushing yard total in two of his last three games. He's not just beating this line; he's flying past it, averaging over 5 yards more in his recent games. Given his consistent performance and ability to outmaneuver defenses, taking the over on Lamar's 47.5 rushing yards seems like an easy win.

2. 🎈 J. Williams: U 60.5 rush yards

Javonte Williams faces a tough challenge against the Detroit Lions' defense, which has been particularly stingy against running backs. They've allowed the second-fewest rushing yards this season, and Williams' recent average of 53.5 rushing yards per game puts him below this line. These stats make a strong case for betting on Williams to stay under 60.5 rushing yards.

🤫 Tap here for my #1 Early-Week Prop Bet

Thursday Night Football (LAC @ LV):

4. 🤝 K. Allen: O 62.5 rec yards

Keenan Allen is poised for success, especially after receiving 10 targets from Easton Stick last week. Stick, stepping in as quarterback, is likely to increase his passing volume, giving Allen even more opportunities to rack up yards. With Stick's passing game expected to improve, Allen going over 62.5 receiving yards looks like a promising bet.

3. 💡 E. Stick: O 198.5 pass yards

Easton Stick, stepping up as the quarterback, managed 179 yards in just over half a game against Denver. With a full game ahead and room for improvement on his 54.2% completion rate, Stick is well-positioned to exceed 198.5 passing yards. This line seems too low for a quarterback poised to increase his output, making the over a compelling bet.

2. 🔍 D. Adams: O 69.5 rec yards

Davante Adams facing the Chargers' defense, which ranks 28th in the NFL against wide receivers, sets the stage for a big game. Adams has exceeded 69.5 receiving yards in three of his last four games, showcasing his ability to perform against weaker defenses. Given the matchup and Adams' recent form, betting on him to go over 69.5 receiving yards is a bet backed by solid stats.

🤫 Tap here for my #1 TNF prop bet

Run good this week!

There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

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