✅🏈 Way-Too-Early AFC Championship Parlay

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There’s a crazy amount of giveaways on Twitter right now.

NFL betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so it’s important to get some action down early in the week. I can help with that!

Today’s NFL Prop Drop:

Note: Full analysis on picks later this week and on Twitter shortly, but today is about getting the best early action down… quickly.

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Way-too-early (AFC parlay) :

5. L. Jackson: O 63.5 rush yards.

Lamar's averaging 93.4 rushing yards PER GAME in his playoff career.
As the Ravens are favored by 3.5 points, projections indicate a strong running strategy with quarterback Lamar Jackson at the forefront. Jackson's significant role in the offense and his ability to gain extra yards after contact, paired with the Chiefs' less effective run defense, suggests a game where his unique rushing skills will be a key factor.

4. Z. Flowers: U 48.5 rec yards.

We've taken WR1 UNDERS against KC all year, remember. The Ravens, favored by 3.5 points, are expected to lean less on passing this week, with projections showing the lowest passing rate among teams. This approach aligns with the formidable Kansas City Chiefs defense, which has been particularly effective against wide receivers, making it a challenging matchup for any passing offense.

3. R. Rice: O 58.5 rec yards.

The books are OVERREACTING to this matchup. If you dig deeper, you'll realize how much 2-high safety the Ravens play, what you'll also find is Rice LEADS THE TEAM in yards against this type of coverage. Over his last 8 games, he's averaging 9 targets per game... 86.9 yards... This is just a BAD LINE. Rice is expected to be a major target, ranking high in efficiency and yards-after-catch, making him a key player in this high-passing game scenario.

2. G. Edwards: O 0.5 Rush+Rec Tds

Only CMC and Mostert scored MORE rushing TDs than Gus Edwards last year, don’t fall into recency bias here after two games without scoring he scored in 3 straight directly before that and nothing has changed with his goal line role.

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