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- ✅ 🏈 MNF Double-Header Prop Drop (Packers @ Giants)(Titans @ Dolphins)
✅ 🏈 MNF Double-Header Prop Drop (Packers @ Giants)(Titans @ Dolphins)
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Joe Holka
December 11, 2023
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It's another Prop Drop. Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NFL in fun ways.
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Alright enough is enough already… let’s get into Monday Night Football double-header!
Today’s Prop Drop
(Packers @ Giants)(Titans @ Dolphins)
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🚀 3. Saquon Barkley: Over 15.5 Rush Attempts
Saquon Barkley is the engine of the Giants' offense, especially with DeVito at QB. In recent games, Barkley has been the RB38, RB1, and RB45, showcasing his heavy involvement but inconsistency with his new QB. Considering the Packers' defensive struggles, particularly against the run (allowing 4.31 YPC to running backs and 15.6 rushing points per game), the Giants are likely to lean on Barkley. The Packers have been vulnerable, giving up 5.4 YPC to backs in their last four games. Given Barkley's high usage and the Packers' weak run defense, surpassing 15.5 rush attempts seems highly probable.
🔥 2. Will Levis: Under 215.5 Pass Yards
Will Levis' performance has been lackluster, with a completion rate of only 57.8% since becoming the starter. His underwhelming performance under pressure, completing just 36.2% of his passes, is concerning, especially against Miami's defense, which is sixth in pressure rate. Miami's defense has allowed only 6.2 yards per pass attempt in their past seven games, indicating a tough matchup for Levis. Given the Dolphins’ defensive prowess and Levis' struggles, particularly under pressure, it's unlikely he will surpass 215.5 passing yards, making the under an attractive bet.
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