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It's another Prop Drop. Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NFL in fun ways.

Under Kings 👑 we swept AGAIN last night… NBA 8-0 night 🤯🤯

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We are officially on an INSANE 74.12% run in NBA🔥 (63-22 over our last 85 NBA bets)

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NFL betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so it’s important to get some action down early in the week. I can help with that!

Today’s NFL Prop Drop:

• Tap the bet to tail on PrizePicks before the line moves

Any-Time TD Bets (AFC/NFC Championship):

G. Edwards: O 0.5 Rush+Rec Tds

Only CMC and Mostert scored MORE rushing TDs than Gus Edwards, and he’s out-touched Hill 20-to-4 inside of the five-yard line this season. They're the favorites and expected to run a lot, leading the slate with 50.8% run plays. The game could hit the most offensive plays of the week at 133.9. Gus Edwards is in for a big day, likely getting loads of carries and yards, especially with the Chiefs' safeties struggling against the run.

I. Pacheco: O 0.5 Rush+Rec Tds

He's scored in 6 STRAIGHT games, 7 total touchdowns over that span. He's taken a bigger role in the run game this year with a 65.7% carry share. Plus, the Chiefs' O-line was one of the best in the NFL last year for blocking. Pacheco's upped his game too, with 74.0 adjusted rushing yards per game and a strong 4.83 yards per carry, ranking him in the 85th percentile.

J. Gibbs: O 0.5 Rush+Rec Tds

The 49ers defense is weak against runs off tackle or to the EDGE, exactly how he SCORED last week. He's crushing it with 63.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground, landing in the 91st percentile among RBs. His ground efficiency is top-notch too, at 5.38 yards per carry, putting him in the 98th percentile. Plus, with his ability to gain 3.08 yards after contact, he's proven to be one of the league's strongest RBs this year.

B. Purdy: O 2.5 Pass Tds

This is a correlation play on this slip. Brock Purdy is shining as one of football's most accurate quarterbacks this year, with a stellar 69.0% Adjusted Completion Percentage, topping the chart at the 100th percentile. He's also among the league's top touchdown throwers, boasting an impressive ratio of 1.88 touchdowns per game, placing him in the 92nd percentile.

G. Kittle: O 0.5 Rush+Rec Tds

He gets a SIGNIFICANT BOOST if Deebo is out or limited. Kittle has stepped up his game this season, racking up 61.0 adjusted receiving yards per game, a big jump from last year's 49.0. His receiving efficiency has also improved, with 10.76 adjusted yards-per-target compared to last year's 9.21. Moreover, Kittle stands out as one of the best tight ends for extra yardage, averaging 6.78 yards-after-the-catch (YAC), putting him in the 96th percentile.

🤫 Tap here for the #1 anytime TD bet

Run good this week!

There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is that I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

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